The Hit-Rate Numbers, Unpacked

Across 15 targets, Claude-run campaigns produced binders for 14, drawing from 1,320 total designs of which 354 were experimentally confirmed as binders - an overall hit rate near 26.8%, well above the 10-15% typical for expert-led campaigns [1][2]. Hit rates varied by setup: Mythos Preview reached 26.7% and Opus 4.8 reached 22.6% in multi-target mode, while Mythos Preview climbed to 35.1% in single-target mode with a larger compute budget [1][2]. The starkest data point is on the RBX1 target, where Claude's best design bound roughly 10x tighter than the winning entry from a public design competition (3.9 nM versus 45 nM), and Claude's own hit rate on that target (40%) dwarfed the roughly 3.7% rate among competition participants [1][2]. Anthropic also reported cross-species binding - 130 of 233 designs also bound the mouse version of their target - and said Claude's top-ranked pick within each campaign succeeded 49% of the time [2].


